Odds of Winning Blackjack

Hey there blackjack lovers! Are you ready to learn about the odds of winning when playing blackjack online for real money at an online casino? Well, you’ve come to the right place! In this article, we will delve into the probability of being dealt certain hands, the house advantage, and the importance of using basic strategy to improve your chances of coming out on top. So grab your virtual chips and let’s get started on improving those blackjack odds!

Blackjack odds

Probability of Blackjack

Blackjack is a popular card game that is played in casinos all over the world. The objective of the game is to beat the dealer by having a hand value of 21, or as close to 21 as possible without going over. Blackjack is a game of skill and strategy, and players who make smart decisions and use basic strategy have a better chance of winning than those who rely on luck alone. 

Blackjack, also known as a natural, is a hand that consists of an ace and a 10-value card (10, Jack, Queen, or King). This hand has a value of 21 and is the best possible hand in the game. The probability of being dealt a blackjack is 4.8%, or approximately 1 in 20 hands. This means that, on average, you will be dealt a blackjack once every 20 hands.

While the probability of blackjack is relatively low, it is still a crucial hand in the game. Not only does it pay out at 3:2 odds (for a $10 bet, you would win $15), but it also gives you a strong advantage over the dealer. If you are dealt a blackjack and the dealer does not have a blackjack, you will automatically win the hand.

So, you’re probably wondering, “How often can I expect to win at blackjack?” Well, we’ve got the numbers for you! Here are the odds of each outcome happening during gameplay:

Player Odds of Winning Dealer Odds of Winning Draw Odds (Tied game)
42.22% 49.10% 8.48%

In this article, we will explore the odds of winning blackjack and discuss some strategies that can help improve your chances of success and assist you should you wish to play our live dealer blackjack.

Blackjack Basic Strategy Odds

Basic blackjack strategy is a set of guidelines that tell you the best way to play your hand based on the cards you have been dealt and the dealer’s up card. By following basic strategy, you can significantly improve your odds of winning. For example, if you have a hard 16 (a hand without an ace) against a dealer’s up card of 10, basic strategy dictates that you should hit (take another card) in hopes of improving your hand. On the other hand, if you have a hard 17 (a hand without an ace) against a dealer’s up card of 3, basic strategy advises that you should stand (keep your current hand).

Blackjack basic strategy odds is based on statistical analysis of thousands of blackjack hands and is designed to maximize your chances of winning. While it is not foolproof, and you will still lose some hands, following basic strategy can help you minimize your losses and maximize your wins over the long run.

Blackjack table with cards and chips
4 Aces in gold and black theme with 3 dice

Odds of Losing Blackjack Hands in a Row

The odds of losing a blackjack hand in a row depend on the probability of losing a single hand, which is approximately 45.9%. Therefore, the odds of losing two hands in a row are 45.9% x 45.9% = 21.1%. The odds of losing three hands in a row are 45.9% x 45.9% x 45.9% = 9.7%. The odds of losing four hands in a row are 45.9% x 45.9% x 45.9% x 45.9% = 4.4%.

As you can see, the odds of losing multiple hands in a row decrease rapidly as the number of hands increases. However, it is important to note that the outcome of each hand is determined by random chance, and it is possible to lose more or fewer hands in a row than the odds would suggest. In addition, the actual odds of losing a hand can vary slightly depending on the specific rules of the game and the player’s skill level.

Blackjack Bet Spreads

Blackjack bet spreads refer to the range of bet sizes that a player uses. Some players use a narrow bet spread, meaning they only vary their bets by a small amount. For example, a player might use a 1-2-3-5-7 bet spread, which means they bet $1 on some hands, $2 on others, $3 on others, and so on. Other players use a wide bet spread, meaning they vary their bets by a larger amount. For example, a player might use a 1-5-10-25-50 bet spread, which means they bet $1 on some hands, $5 on others, $10 on others, and so on.

There is no “correct” bet spread to use, and different players have different preferences. Some players like to use a narrow bet spread because it helps them control their bankroll and minimize their losses. Other players prefer a wide bet spread because it allows them to take advantage of favorable situations and potentially win more money. Ultimately, the best bet spread to use is the one that you are most comfortable with and that fits your playing style. 

Here is an example of a narrow and a wide bet spread:

Narrow Bet Spread:

Hand Bet
1 $1
2 $2
3 $3
4 $5
5 $7

Wide Bet Spread:

Hand Bet
1 $1
2 $5
3 $10
4 $25
5 $50

Just remember that no matter what bet spread you choose, it’s important to always have a solid understanding of basic strategy and to manage your bankroll carefully. By doing so, you’ll be able to make informed decisions and increase your chances of winning at the virtual blackjack table.

Hand holding ace an jack of spades

Blackjack Cheat Calculator

A blackjack cheat calculator is a tool that is designed to help players count cards and make more informed decisions during a game of blackjack. These calculators use complex algorithms to analyze the cards that have been dealt and provide players with recommendations on how to play their hands. 

Some cheat calculators even offer real-time updates as the game progresses, allowing players to adjust their strategy on the fly. 

While these calculators can be useful for improving your odds of winning, it’s important to note that they are not foolproof and should not be relied upon solely. Additionally, it is illegal to use cheat calculators or any other form of cheating devices at a casino, and you risk getting banned or facing legal consequences if caught. Therefore, it’s best to use a blackjack cheat calculator for educational purposes only and to always play fair.

Here are some ways that gamblers have used a blackjack cheat calculator:

  • Some gamblers have used cheat calculators to count cards and gain an advantage over the casino. In most cases, these players were eventually caught and banned from the casino.
  • Others have used cheat calculators to help them make better decisions during a game of blackjack. While these players were not necessarily caught, it is still considered unfair and unethical to use such a device to gain an advantage over the casino.
  • Some gamblers have used cheat calculators to try and predict the outcome of a hand. While these calculators are not capable of accurately predicting the future, some players have still tried to use them for this purpose. These players were not necessarily caught, but they were not successful in their efforts either.

Hand folding up a king of hearts and ace of spades

Blackjack House Edge Calculator

If you’re interested in playing blackjack at a casino, it’s important to understand the concept of the house edge. The house edge is a measure of the advantage that the casino has over the player in a particular game. In other words, it’s the percentage of each bet that the casino can expect to keep over the long run.

There are several factors that contribute to the house edge in blackjack, including the number of decks being used, the rules of the game, and the player’s skill level. For example, a single-deck blackjack game with liberal rules (such as allowing the player to double down on any two cards and surrender) will have a lower house edge than a six-deck game with strict rules (such as not allowing the player to double down on any two cards and not allowing surrender).

To calculate the house edge in a particular blackjack game, you can use a blackjack house edge calculator. These calculators allow you to input the specific rules of the game, the number of decks being used, and your skill level, and they will provide you with an estimate of the house edge. By using a house edge calculator, you can compare the house edge of different blackjack games and choose the one that gives you the best chance of winning.

It’s important to note that the house edge is not a guarantee of how much you will win or lose in a particular session of blackjack. The outcome of any given hand is determined by random chance, and you could potentially win or lose a large sum of money in a short period of time. However, over the long run, the house edge will come into play, and the casino can expect to make a profit based on the percentage indicated by the house edge.

By understanding the house edge and using a house edge calculator, you can make more informed decisions about where and how to play blackjack. Whether you’re a seasoned pro or a beginner, a little knowledge goes a long way in the world of gambling.

King of clubs with ace of hearts cards laying on green casino table

Blackjack House Odds and Bust Probability

Now that we have a good understanding of the house edge, it’s time to start playing some blackjack. Before we even look at our own hands, there is a strategy we can use to try and predict the dealer’s success rate. The ultimate goal is for the dealer to go bust, which means that we instantly win. While this may seem like pure luck, we can actually use some calculations to predict the average bust rate based on the dealer’s first visible card, known as the “up card.”

Here’s a quick reference guide to help you remember the terms:

  • Up card: The first visible card that is drawn face up.
  • Bust-out: A hand value that exceeds 21.
Dealer Up Card Bust Rates
2 35.30%
3 37.56%
4 40.28%
5 42.89%
6 42.08%
7 25.99%
8 23.86%
9 23.34%
10 21.43%
A 11.65%

Here is a blackjack odds chart that shows the probability of certain events occurring in a game of blackjack:

Event Probability
Dealer busting 28.6%
Player busting 22.4%
Player winning 45.9%
Dealer winning 49.1%
Push (tie) 5.0%
Blackjack (player) 4.8%
Blackjack (dealer) 4.8%

This chart shows the probability of each event occurring in a single hand of blackjack. The probabilities are based on the assumption that the player is using basic strategy and the dealer is following set rules for drawing cards.

Blackjack Odds FAQs

Yes, blackjack has some of the best odds of any casino game. While the house always has an advantage, the house edge in blackjack is relatively low compared to other games like slots or roulette. With the use of basic strategy and card counting techniques, it is possible for skilled players to even have an edge over the casino in certain situations.

Blackjack is a game of both skill and luck. While the outcome of each hand is determined by random chance, the player’s decisions during the hand can greatly affect their chances of winning. By using basic strategy and card counting techniques, players can make more informed decisions and improve their chances of winning.

Yes, blackjack and 21 are the same game. The objective of both games is to beat the dealer by having a hand value of 21, or as close to 21 as possible without going over. The name “blackjack” was coined because a hand consisting of an ace and a 10-value card (10, Jack, Queen, or King) was paid out at a higher rate than other winning hands.

There are many online casinos that offer blackjack games for players to enjoy. The most accommodating casino is Lucky Creek.. It’s important to do your research and choose a reputable online casino that is licensed and regulated. This will ensure that you have a fair and enjoyable gaming experience.